Central Ballester vs Puerto Nuevo

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Central Ballester

Puerto Nuevo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% DRAW 34.2% AWAY 29.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% 2.65 DRAW 33.4% 2.85 AWAY 30.7% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Puerto Nuevo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Central Ballester Puerto Nuevo

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Central Ballester Puerto Nuevo

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Central Ballester has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Central Ballester Puerto Nuevo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Central Ballester ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Puerto Nuevo ↑ +0.55 (+21.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.