JJ Urquiza vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

JJ Urquiza

Juventud Unida San Miguel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.1% DRAW 34.5% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% 3.08 DRAW 33.7% 2.80 AWAY 35.6% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Juventud Unida San Miguel

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JJ Urquiza Juventud Unida San Miguel

Shots 4.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Juventud Unida San Miguel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JJ Urquiza Juventud Unida San Miguel

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.3

JJ Urquiza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JJ Urquiza Juventud Unida San Miguel

The combined recent performance profile favours Juventud Unida San Miguel.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

JJ Urquiza ↑ +0.18 (+6.0%)

Juventud Unida San Miguel ↑ +0.17 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.