Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Yupanqui

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Yupanqui

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% DRAW 31.1% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.08 DRAW 30.6% 3.05 AWAY 24.6% 3.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Yupanqui

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Yupanqui

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Yupanqui, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Yupanqui

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Yupanqui

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

Yupanqui ↑ +0.47 (+14.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.