JJ Urquiza vs General Lamadrid

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

JJ Urquiza

General Lamadrid

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.8% DRAW 33.7% AWAY 32.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 2.80 DRAW 32.9% 2.75 AWAY 34.8% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: General Lamadrid

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JJ Urquiza General Lamadrid

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours General Lamadrid, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JJ Urquiza General Lamadrid

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.5

JJ Urquiza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JJ Urquiza General Lamadrid

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

JJ Urquiza ↓ -0.69 (-19.7%)

General Lamadrid ↑ +0.58 (+28.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.