Berazategui vs CA Atlas

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Berazategui

CA Atlas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 23.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.01 DRAW 30.4% 3.05 AWAY 23.5% 3.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Atlas

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Berazategui CA Atlas

Shots 8.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Berazategui CA Atlas

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Berazategui has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Berazategui CA Atlas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Berazategui ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

CA Atlas ↑ +0.31 (+8.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.