CA Lugano vs Leones de Rosario

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CA Lugano

Leones de Rosario

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% DRAW 33.9% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.7% 2.98 DRAW 33.1% 2.85 AWAY 35.2% 2.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leones de Rosario

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Lugano Leones de Rosario

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Leones de Rosario, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Lugano Leones de Rosario

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Lugano Leones de Rosario

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CA Lugano ↑ +0.02 (+0.7%)

Leones de Rosario ↑ +0.23 (+9.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.