Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United FC

26 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Sporting JAX

Loudoun United FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 49.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% 3.25 DRAW 22.4% 4.25 AWAY 48.3% 1.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Loudoun United FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting JAX Loudoun United FC

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Sporting JAX, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting JAX Loudoun United FC

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Loudoun United FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting JAX Loudoun United FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sporting JAX ↑ +0.44 (+16.5%)

Loudoun United FC ↓ -0.24 (-10.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.