Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising FC

27 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Oakland Roots

Phoenix Rising FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 33.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.46 DRAW 26.7% 3.57 AWAY 34.6% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Oakland Roots

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising FC

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising FC

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Oakland Roots ↑ +0.24 (+10.8%)

Phoenix Rising FC ↓ -0.28 (-9.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.