El Paso Locomotive FC vs Tulsa

26 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

El Paso Locomotive FC

Tulsa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 1.95 DRAW 25.9% 3.67 AWAY 25.3% 3.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: El Paso Locomotive FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

El Paso Locomotive FC Tulsa

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours El Paso Locomotive FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

El Paso Locomotive FC Tulsa

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

El Paso Locomotive FC Tulsa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

El Paso Locomotive FC ↑ +0.07 (+3.6%)

Tulsa ↓ -0.14 (-3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.