Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX

17 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Hartford Athletic

Sporting JAX

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.1% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 17.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% 1.58 DRAW 22.1% 4.43 AWAY 16.3% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sporting JAX

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hartford Athletic Sporting JAX

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Sporting JAX, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hartford Athletic Sporting JAX

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hartford Athletic Sporting JAX

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting JAX.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hartford Athletic ↓ -0.07 (-4.5%)

Sporting JAX ↑ +0.87 (+18.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.