Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn FC

06 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Brooklyn FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.2% DRAW 14.4% AWAY 10.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.1% 1.30 DRAW 15.8% 6.02 AWAY 11.1% 8.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tampa Bay Rowdies

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tampa Bay Rowdies Brooklyn FC

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tampa Bay Rowdies Brooklyn FC

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tampa Bay Rowdies Brooklyn FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tampa Bay Rowdies ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

Brooklyn FC ↑ +0.55 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.