Sporting JAX vs Lexington SC

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Sporting JAX

Lexington SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.1% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 54.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% 3.90 DRAW 22.2% 4.34 AWAY 53.1% 1.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Lexington SC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting JAX Lexington SC

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting JAX Lexington SC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Lexington SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting JAX Lexington SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Lexington SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sporting JAX ↑ +0.20 (+5.4%)

Lexington SC ↓ -0.06 (-3.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.