Rhode Island FC vs Louisville City FC

06 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Rhode Island FC

Louisville City FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% 2.32 DRAW 27.1% 3.55 AWAY 31.4% 3.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Rhode Island FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rhode Island FC Louisville City FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Rhode Island FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rhode Island FC Louisville City FC

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rhode Island FC Louisville City FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rhode Island FC ↓ -0.11 (-4.5%)

Louisville City FC ↑ +0.25 (+8.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.