Monterey Bay FC vs Phoenix Rising FC

06 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Monterey Bay FC

Phoenix Rising FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 45.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.9% 3.20 DRAW 24.1% 3.98 AWAY 46.0% 2.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Monterey Bay FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Monterey Bay FC Phoenix Rising FC

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Monterey Bay FC Phoenix Rising FC

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Phoenix Rising FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Monterey Bay FC Phoenix Rising FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Monterey Bay FC ↑ +0.19 (+6.3%)

Phoenix Rising FC ↓ -0.09 (-4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.