Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Miami FC

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.8% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% 3.27 DRAW 28.5% 3.20 AWAY 43.5% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Miami FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Miami FC Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Miami FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Miami FC Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Miami FC Pittsburgh Riverhounds

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Miami FC ↑ +0.04 (+1.1%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds ↓ -0.18 (-7.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.