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Monterey Bay FC vs Sacramento Republic

30 Aug 2026 · 04:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Away Lean

Home 24.7%
Draw 26.7%
Away 48.6%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 22.0 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Monterey Bay FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Monterey Bay FC Sacramento Republic

Recent attacking output favours Monterey Bay FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Monterey Bay FC Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Monterey Bay FC Sacramento Republic

The combined recent performance profile favours Sacramento Republic.

Attack

Monterey Bay FC Sacramento Republic
Shots / match 10.3 8.8
On target / match 4.3 3.3

Defence

Monterey Bay FC Sacramento Republic
Shots allowed / match 14.3 5.0
On target allowed / match 7.0 2.0

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Monterey Bay FC ↑ +0.24 (+6.5%)
Sacramento Republic ↑ +0.03 (+1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -0.298
Shot rating -31
Shots-on-target rating -16
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Away Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.