Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity FC

06 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Sarasota Paradise

Spokane Velocity FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 41.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 2.88 DRAW 27.6% 3.40 AWAY 39.9% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Spokane Velocity FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sarasota Paradise Spokane Velocity FC

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Spokane Velocity FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sarasota Paradise Spokane Velocity FC

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sarasota Paradise Spokane Velocity FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Spokane Velocity FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sarasota Paradise ↓ -0.02 (-0.6%)

Spokane Velocity FC ↓ -0.25 (-9.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.