Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph SC

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Greenville Triumph SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 32.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% 2.15 DRAW 26.8% 3.45 AWAY 30.2% 3.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Greenville Triumph SC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chattanooga Red Wolves Greenville Triumph SC

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chattanooga Red Wolves Greenville Triumph SC

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Greenville Triumph SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chattanooga Red Wolves Greenville Triumph SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Greenville Triumph SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chattanooga Red Wolves ↓ -0.06 (-2.7%)

Greenville Triumph SC ↑ +0.16 (+5.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.