Portland Hearts of Pine vs Antelope Valley Alta

14 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Portland Hearts of Pine

Antelope Valley Alta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 27.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% 2.05 DRAW 25.4% 3.78 AWAY 27.8% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Portland Hearts of Pine

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portland Hearts of Pine Antelope Valley Alta

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Portland Hearts of Pine, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portland Hearts of Pine Antelope Valley Alta

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Antelope Valley Alta has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portland Hearts of Pine Antelope Valley Alta

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Portland Hearts of Pine ↓ -0.22 (-10.3%)

Antelope Valley Alta ↑ +0.55 (+18.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.