Portland Hearts of Pine vs Westchester SC

07 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Portland Hearts of Pine

Westchester SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 32.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% 2.14 DRAW 25.2% 3.83 AWAY 29.7% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Westchester SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.6% win probability, compared with 29.7% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Westchester SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portland Hearts of Pine Westchester SC

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Westchester SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portland Hearts of Pine Westchester SC

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portland Hearts of Pine Westchester SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Westchester SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Portland Hearts of Pine ↑ +0.07 (+3.4%)

Westchester SC ↓ -0.20 (-6.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.