Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence

06 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Union Omaha

Charlotte Independence

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.9% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.7% 1.90 DRAW 24.6% 3.84 AWAY 25.8% 3.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Charlotte Independence

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union Omaha Charlotte Independence

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union Omaha Charlotte Independence

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Union Omaha has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union Omaha Charlotte Independence

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Union Omaha ↑ +0.07 (+3.8%)

Charlotte Independence ↑ +0.12 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.