AC Boise vs Charlotte Independence

17 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

AC Boise

Charlotte Independence

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% 1.95 DRAW 24.7% 3.74 AWAY 27.9% 3.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Charlotte Independence

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Boise Charlotte Independence

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Charlotte Independence, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Boise Charlotte Independence

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Boise Charlotte Independence

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

AC Boise = (0.0%)

Charlotte Independence ↓ -0.41 (-11.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.