FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

FC Naples

Chattanooga Red Wolves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 36.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% 2.38 DRAW 27.2% 3.45 AWAY 33.5% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chattanooga Red Wolves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.4% win probability, compared with 33.5% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Chattanooga Red Wolves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Naples Chattanooga Red Wolves

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Naples Chattanooga Red Wolves

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Naples Chattanooga Red Wolves

The combined recent performance profile favours Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Naples = (0.0%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves ↑ +0.26 (+10.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.