Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne FC

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Charlotte Independence

Fort Wayne FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 26.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% 1.82 DRAW 22.5% 4.25 AWAY 24.9% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Charlotte Independence

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Charlotte Independence Fort Wayne FC

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Charlotte Independence Fort Wayne FC

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Fort Wayne FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Charlotte Independence Fort Wayne FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Charlotte Independence ↑ +0.16 (+9.6%)

Fort Wayne FC = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.