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Finland Ykkosliiga · FI

Klubi-04 vs JaPS

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00
CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp
Klubi-04
JaPS
HOME 63.9% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 17.6%
HOME 59.5% 1.61 DRAW 20.3% 4.71 AWAY 20.2% 4.75

StochasticBet rates Klubi-04 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.9% win probability, compared with 59.5% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Klubi-04

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Klubi-04 JaPS
Shots 13.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Klubi-04 JaPS
Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Klubi-04 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Klubi-04 JaPS

The combined recent performance profile favours Klubi-04.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Klubi-04 ↓ -0.12 (-6.9%)
JaPS ↑ +0.88 (+22.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.