KaPa vs FC Haka

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

KaPa

FC Haka

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.3% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 65.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.5% 6.27 DRAW 19.8% 4.89 AWAY 64.7% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Haka

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KaPa FC Haka

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 16.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KaPa FC Haka

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

FC Haka has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KaPa FC Haka

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

KaPa ↑ +0.54 (+9.4%)

FC Haka ↑ +0.03 (+2.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.