KTP vs JaPS

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

KTP

JaPS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.4% DRAW 15.0% AWAY 10.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.9% 1.37 DRAW 16.5% 5.96 AWAY 11.6% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for KTP relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.4% win probability, compared with 71.9% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: KTP

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KTP JaPS

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours KTP, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KTP JaPS

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.3

KTP has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KTP JaPS

The combined recent performance profile favours KTP.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

KTP ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

JaPS ↑ +1.61 (+23.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.