Jippo vs KTP

04 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Jippo

KTP

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 38.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% 2.87 DRAW 27.1% 3.51 AWAY 39.7% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KTP

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jippo KTP

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jippo KTP

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Jippo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jippo KTP

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Jippo ↑ +0.32 (+12.5%)

KTP ↓ -0.05 (-2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.