Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion

13 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Colo Colo

Deportes Concepcion

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 12.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.4% 1.44 DRAW 20.3% 4.73 AWAY 13.3% 7.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Colo Colo

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colo Colo Deportes Concepcion

Shots 15.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 16.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colo Colo Deportes Concepcion

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Colo Colo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colo Colo Deportes Concepcion

The combined recent performance profile favours Colo Colo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Colo Colo ↑ +0.03 (+2.4%)

Deportes Concepcion ↓ -0.02 (-0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.