Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache

15 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Union La Calera

Deportes Limache

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 36.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% 2.65 DRAW 27.3% 3.60 AWAY 35.7% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportes Limache

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union La Calera Deportes Limache

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 16.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Deportes Limache, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union La Calera Deportes Limache

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Union La Calera has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union La Calera Deportes Limache

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Union La Calera ↑ +0.12 (+5.1%)

Deportes Limache ↓ -0.22 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.