O'Higgins vs Union La Calera

06 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

O'Higgins

Union La Calera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.0% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 23.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 1.98 DRAW 27.3% 3.53 AWAY 24.1% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: O'Higgins

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

O'Higgins Union La Calera

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

O'Higgins Union La Calera

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

O'Higgins Union La Calera

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

O'Higgins ↑ +0.19 (+10.4%)

Union La Calera ↓ -0.34 (-7.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.