Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido

06 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Universidad de Chile

Coquimbo Unido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 1.95 DRAW 27.1% 3.50 AWAY 24.3% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Universidad de Chile clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.1% win probability, compared with 48.6% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Universidad de Chile

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Universidad de Chile Coquimbo Unido

Shots 18.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Universidad de Chile, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Universidad de Chile Coquimbo Unido

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Universidad de Chile Coquimbo Unido

The combined recent performance profile favours Universidad de Chile.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Universidad de Chile ↓ -0.10 (-4.9%)

Coquimbo Unido ↑ +0.44 (+12.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.