Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

09 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Pohang Steelers

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 30.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% 2.45 DRAW 29.6% 3.25 AWAY 31.1% 3.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pohang Steelers

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pohang Steelers Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Pohang Steelers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pohang Steelers Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pohang Steelers Gimcheon Sangmu FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Pohang Steelers ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

Gimcheon Sangmu FC ↑ +0.24 (+8.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.