Ulsan HD vs FC Seoul

08 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.1 pp

Ulsan HD

FC Seoul

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.1% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 52.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.8% 3.65 DRAW 26.5% 3.70 AWAY 46.7% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Seoul substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.8% win probability, compared with 46.7% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Seoul has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ulsan HD FC Seoul

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Seoul, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ulsan HD FC Seoul

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

FC Seoul has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ulsan HD FC Seoul

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Seoul.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ulsan HD ↑ +0.35 (+10.4%)

FC Seoul ↓ -0.10 (-4.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.