Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC

13 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gangwon FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.6% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 40.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% 2.96 DRAW 29.9% 3.24 AWAY 37.4% 2.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Gangwon FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.6% win probability, compared with 37.4% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gangwon FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Gangwon FC

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 15.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Gangwon FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Gangwon FC

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Gangwon FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Gangwon FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gimcheon Sangmu FC ↑ +0.07 (+2.5%)

Gangwon FC ↑ +0.09 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.