Daejeon Hana Citizen vs FC Anyang

09 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Daejeon Hana Citizen

FC Anyang

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.9% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 15.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.5% 1.61 DRAW 22.5% 4.32 AWAY 17.0% 5.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Daejeon Hana Citizen relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.9% win probability, compared with 60.5% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Daejeon Hana Citizen has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC Anyang

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Daejeon Hana Citizen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC Anyang

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Daejeon Hana Citizen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Daejeon Hana Citizen FC Anyang

The combined recent performance profile favours Daejeon Hana Citizen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Daejeon Hana Citizen ↓ -0.03 (-1.9%)

FC Anyang ↑ +0.77 (+15.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.