Internacional vs Santos

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Internacional

Santos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 2.02 DRAW 28.3% 3.46 AWAY 23.2% 4.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Internacional

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Internacional Santos

Shots 14.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Internacional Santos

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Internacional Santos

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Internacional ↑ +0.11 (+5.5%)

Santos ↑ +0.11 (+2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.