NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Chicago Stars (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 86.1% DRAW 8.5% AWAY 5.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 83.5% 1.17 DRAW 10.2% 9.50 AWAY 6.3% 15.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 86.1% win probability, compared with 83.5% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) Chicago Stars (W)

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) Chicago Stars (W)

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.5

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) Chicago Stars (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) ↑ +0.03 (+3.0%)

Chicago Stars (W) ↑ +1.00 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.