Portland Thorns (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Portland Thorns (W)

Washington Spirit (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 37.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% 2.55 DRAW 25.6% 3.74 AWAY 36.9% 2.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Portland Thorns (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portland Thorns (W) Washington Spirit (W)

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 17.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portland Thorns (W) Washington Spirit (W)

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portland Thorns (W) Washington Spirit (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Portland Thorns (W) ↓ -0.10 (-3.8%)

Washington Spirit (W) ↑ +0.31 (+13.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.