Racing Louisville FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Racing Louisville FC (W)

San Diego Wave (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 56.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% 4.02 DRAW 24.0% 3.84 AWAY 53.1% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for San Diego Wave (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.2% win probability, compared with 53.1% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

San Diego Wave (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Racing Louisville FC (W) San Diego Wave (W)

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours San Diego Wave (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Racing Louisville FC (W) San Diego Wave (W)

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

San Diego Wave (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Racing Louisville FC (W) San Diego Wave (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours San Diego Wave (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Racing Louisville FC (W) ↑ +0.08 (+1.9%)

San Diego Wave (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.