Reign FC (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Reign FC (W)

San Diego Wave (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 40.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.8% 3.11 DRAW 26.5% 3.50 AWAY 43.7% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Reign FC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.9% win probability, compared with 29.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Reign FC (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Reign FC (W) San Diego Wave (W)

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Reign FC (W) San Diego Wave (W)

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Reign FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Reign FC (W) San Diego Wave (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Reign FC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Reign FC (W) ↑ +0.19 (+6.5%)

San Diego Wave (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.