Tromso 2 vs Kongsvinger 2

21 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Tromso 2

Kongsvinger 2

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% 1.58 DRAW 20.4% 4.51 AWAY 21.3% 4.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Kongsvinger 2 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.1% win probability, compared with 21.3% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kongsvinger 2

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tromso 2 Kongsvinger 2

Shots 3.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Kongsvinger 2, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tromso 2 Kongsvinger 2

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Tromso 2 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tromso 2 Kongsvinger 2

The combined recent performance profile favours Kongsvinger 2.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tromso 2 ↓ -0.08 (-4.9%)

Kongsvinger 2 ↑ +0.62 (+17.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.