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Norway Division 3 Group 5 · NO

Skjetten vs Tromso 2

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00
CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.7 pp
Skjetten
Tromso 2
HOME 59.4% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 20.6%
HOME 53.7% 1.77 DRAW 21.9% 4.33 AWAY 24.4% 3.90

StochasticBet rates Skjetten clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.4% win probability, compared with 53.7% implied by the market. The 5.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Skjetten has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Skjetten Tromso 2
Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Skjetten, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Skjetten Tromso 2
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Skjetten has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Skjetten Tromso 2

The combined recent performance profile favours Skjetten.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Skjetten ↓ -0.06 (-3.4%)
Tromso 2 ↑ +0.90 (+29.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.