Nardo vs Ranheim 2

21 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Nardo

Ranheim 2

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.7% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 19.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.8% 1.55 DRAW 18.8% 5.00 AWAY 20.4% 4.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Nardo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.7% win probability, compared with 60.8% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nardo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nardo Ranheim 2

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Nardo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nardo Ranheim 2

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 7.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nardo Ranheim 2

The combined recent performance profile favours Nardo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nardo ↓ -0.32 (-15.8%)

Ranheim 2 ↑ +1.69 (+69.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.