Aalesunds FK 2 vs Spjelkavik

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Aalesunds FK 2

Spjelkavik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 44.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% 2.87 DRAW 22.9% 4.20 AWAY 43.7% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aalesunds FK 2 Spjelkavik

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Spjelkavik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aalesunds FK 2 Spjelkavik

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aalesunds FK 2 Spjelkavik

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Aalesunds FK 2 ↑ +0.11 (+4.4%)

Spjelkavik ↑ +0.21 (+10.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.