Molde 2 vs Aalesunds FK 2

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Molde 2

Aalesunds FK 2

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 23.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.8% 1.65 DRAW 19.7% 4.75 AWAY 23.4% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Molde 2 Aalesunds FK 2

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Molde 2 Aalesunds FK 2

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Molde 2 Aalesunds FK 2

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Molde 2 ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

Aalesunds FK 2 ↑ +0.75 (+23.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.