Madla vs Haugesund 2

21 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.2 pp

Madla

Haugesund 2

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 23.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.66 DRAW 19.2% 4.70 AWAY 26.5% 3.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Madla clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.6% win probability, compared with 54.3% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Madla

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Madla Haugesund 2

Shots 14.0 · On target 8.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Madla, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Madla Haugesund 2

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Madla Haugesund 2

The combined recent performance profile favours Madla.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Madla ↑ +0.57 (+47.7%)

Haugesund 2 ↓ -2.13 (-28.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.