Lyn 1896 II vs Sarpsborg 2

21 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Lyn 1896 II

Sarpsborg 2

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.0% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.5% 1.76 DRAW 21.5% 4.55 AWAY 23.1% 4.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sarpsborg 2

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lyn 1896 II Sarpsborg 2

Shots 15.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lyn 1896 II Sarpsborg 2

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lyn 1896 II Sarpsborg 2

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Lyn 1896 II ↓ -0.15 (-7.8%)

Sarpsborg 2 ↑ +0.89 (+33.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.