Viking 2 vs Varhaug

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Viking 2

Varhaug

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.8% DRAW 16.6% AWAY 12.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.3% 1.34 DRAW 16.4% 6.00 AWAY 10.3% 9.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Viking 2

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Viking 2 Varhaug

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Viking 2, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Viking 2 Varhaug

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3

Varhaug has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Viking 2 Varhaug

The combined recent performance profile favours Varhaug.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Viking 2 ↓ -1.21 (-47.5%)

Varhaug ↑ +7.40 (+352.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.