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USA NWSL Women · US

Denver Summit FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)

17 Sep 2026 · 03:30
NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp
Denver Summit FC (W)
Bay FC (W)
HOME 60.3% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 19.2%
HOME 58.8% 1.66 DRAW 21.5% 4.53 AWAY 19.6% 4.97

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Denver Summit FC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Denver Summit FC (W) Bay FC (W)
Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Denver Summit FC (W) Bay FC (W)
Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Denver Summit FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Denver Summit FC (W) Bay FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Denver Summit FC (W) ↓ -0.12 (-6.8%)
Bay FC (W) ↑ +1.10 (+28.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.